Three major shifts from the Trump-Xi meeting

Hi, this is Evelyn, writing to you from Beijing. Welcome to the latest edition of The China Connection — a succinct snapshot of what I’m seeing and hearing from local businesses.

U.S. President Donald Trump has left Beijing after a highly anticipated two-day visit with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Fanfare aside, what’s changed for business?

After a momentous Trump-Xi summit in Beijing last week with over a dozen American executives in tow, the U.S. and Chinese readouts agree on one phrase: constructive strategic stability.

But what does that really mean?

From an economic and trade perspective, the term amounts to “a form of commercial détente,” James Zimmerman, chairman of the American Chamber of Commerce in China, told me.

In practical terms, it signals intent to talk and creates room to resolve disputes without a return to trade war uncertainty — a boost for business confidence, he said.

China emphasized that the framework would set the tone for at least three years, or the rest of Trump’s presidency.

“This is a fundamental change from the previous unilateral definition of strategic competition,” said Hai Zhao, a director of international political studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a state-affiliated think tank.

He said that the two countries could use the months before Xi’s planned visit to the U.S. on Sept. 24 to lay the groundwork for greater cooperation on fentanyl, immigration, increased human interaction and tourism.

Rubio, who is also serving as interim security advisor, is the “designated interlocutor” right now, Zhao said. “So there’s no reason China [would not] invite him on this trip and work with him [in] the future.”

Beijing also hopes that Trump can keep anti-China forces at bay domestically even after the midterm elections in November, and preserve bipartisan support for stable U.S.-China relations, Zhao said.

Second, Beijing has made its bottom line on Taiwan clear.

Xi warned Trump that the island — which the Chinese leader described as the biggest issue in U.S.-China relations — could put the bilateral relationship into “great jeopardy” if mishandled.

Trump, meanwhile, pushed back against the idea that Taiwan should pursue independence, especially with U.S. backing, according to an interview with Fox News that aired Friday afternoon, while urging both sides to “cool it.”

The comments offered a much clearer stance on Taiwan than during the Biden administration, when the White House had to reaffirm the longstanding U.S. position after the president’s comments hinted otherwise.

Third,…