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Oil prices plunge below $95 after Trump agrees to Iran ceasefire


Oil market still extremely tight even if future markets are down, says Bank of America's Francisco Blanch

Oil prices plunged Wednesday after President Donald Trump agreed to suspend attacks on Iran for two weeks in exchange for Tehran allowing safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with May delivery fell 16.3% to $94.55 per barrel by 6:11 a.m. ET. International benchmark Brent crude futures with June delivery, meanwhile, lost 13.8% to $94.13 per barrel.

The WTI could log its worst daily performance since April 27, 2020 if it settles more than 14.52% lower.

Trump said the two-week ceasefire was subject to Iran agreeing to a complete, immediate and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. has received a 10-point proposal from Iran that is a workable basis for negotiations, he said.

“Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated,” Trump said in a social media post.

Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi said Tehran will allow safe passage through the Strait during the ceasefire via “coordination with Iran’s Armed Forces and with due consideration to technical limitations.”

“If attacks against Iran are halted, our Powerful Armed Forces will cease their defensive operations,” Araghchi said in a social media post.

The apparent ceasefire came less than two hours before Trump’s 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait. The president had threatened to bomb every bridge and power plant in Iran if its leaders did not meet that deadline.

Trump’s rhetoric had taken an ominous turn Tuesday morning when he threatened to destroy Iran’s entire civilization.

“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again,” Trump said in a social media post earlier on Tuesday. “I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”

The president said he agreed to the ceasefire after discussions with Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The prime minister had asked Trump to delay his deadline to allow negotiations to continue. Sharif also asked Iran to reopen the Strait during that period as a goodwill measure.

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Oil exports through the Strait have plunged due to attacks by Iran on commercial ships, triggering the largest disruption of crude supplies in history.

About 20% of global oil supplies passed through the Strait before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28. The narrow sea route connects producers in the Persian Gulf to global markets.

The price of crude oil, jet fuel, diesel and gasoline prices have surged during the war. Oil CEOs and analysts have warned that fuel shortages will ripple around the world if the Strait does not fully reopen.

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