Gold and silver rebound after historic wipeout as analysts say thematic

Gold and silver prices rebounded on Tuesday after suffering a historic sell-off, with analysts suggesting that the recent corrections were more a positioning reset than a sustained downturn.

Gold prices clawed back ground after falling on Monday and plunging nearly 10% on Friday —  steepest single-day declines in decades. Silver also recovered modestly after a roughly 30% collapse that marked its worst one-day performance since 1980. 

Spot gold was last up about 6% to $4,938.6 per ounce. Gold futures in New York were last up over 6%, hovering at around $4,951 as of 3.26 a.m. ET.

Spot silver rose nearly 10% to $86.96 per ounce. Silver futures in New York were up 13% at $87.23 per ounce.

The rebound came as investors reassessed whether the rout signaled a structural turning point or an exaggerated reaction to short-term catalysts.

Strategists at Deutsche Bank said history suggests it is short-term catalysts, even as the scale of the sell-off has raised fresh questions about market positioning. The bank said that while signs of elevated speculative activity have been building for months, they are insufficient on their own to explain the magnitude of last week’s move.

“The adjustment in precious metal prices overshot the significance of its ostensible catalysts. Moreover, investor intentions in precious (official, institutional, individual) have not likely changed for the worse.”

The sell-off was triggered by a combination of factors, including a rebound in the U.S. dollar, shifts in expectations around Federal Reserve leadership following President Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair, and position-trimming ahead of the weekend.

Deutsche Bank said the broader investment case for gold and silver remains intact.

“Gold’s thematic drivers remain positive and we believe investors’ rationale for gold (and precious) allocations will not have changed. The conditions do not appear primed for a sustained reversal in gold prices, and we draw some contrasts between today’s circumstance and the context for gold’s weakness in the 1980s and 2013.”

Barclays struck a similar tone, acknowledging overheated technicals and stretched positioning, but said that the broader “bid” for gold can remain resilient amid geopolitical and policy uncertainties and reserve-diversification themes.

Silver’s whipsaw has been more dramatic, reflecting its smaller market, higher volatility and heavier retail participation. However, some analysts still maintain a bullish case for the white metal.

“Speculative positioning has definitely played a role in the short term. Silver has attracted more retail participation than gold and that makes it that much more sensitive to fast-moving…