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Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Selling, But Price Holds – New Buyers Stepping


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Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound between $100,000 and $110,000 since May, offering few clues about its next directional move. While this sideways price action may be frustrating traders, on-chain indicators suggest there may be more happening beneath the surface.

Long-Term Holders Are Selling Bitcoin

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Yonsei_dent, long-term holders (LTHs) – those who have held BTC for more than six months – have been consistently selling their coins. Two key indicators, the Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB) and Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), support this observation.

bitcoin
Source: CryptoQuant

For the uninitiated, SOAB is an on-chain metric that tracks the age of Bitcoin being spent, categorizing coins based on how long they were held before being moved. It helps identify whether short-term or long-term holders are currently active, revealing shifts in investor behavior and broader market trends.

Similarly, Binary CDD is a simplified on-chain metric that shows whether LTHs spent any coins on a given day – represented as a binary “yes” (1) or “no” (0). Unlike traditional CDD, it focuses solely on the presence or absence of LTH activity, making it easier to spot trend changes in long-term holder behavior.

What’s notable, according to Yonsei_dent, is that despite this steady selling by LTHs, BTC’s price has not broken down. The fact that the market is absorbing this selling pressure suggests that new demand – possibly from fresh buyers – is stepping in. The analyst added:

For a bullish trend to sustain, this kind of healthy rotation (from strong hands to new buyers) is essential. In that context, LTH spending isn’t a warning sign – it’s actually a constructive signal.

In addition, there’s rising activity from holders who acquired BTC one to three years ago. This likely reflects profit-taking by those who bought during previous cycle lows.

That said, such selling does not necessarily indicate weakness. On the contrary, it suggests a transition in market leadership from older to newer holders – a dynamic typically seen in the mid-to-late stages of a bull market.

In conclusion, Yonsei_dent believes that the crypto market is likely in a phase of “quiet redistribution,” where LTH selling is being matched by sufficient buy-side demand – potentially setting the stage for the next strong move.

Not All Analysts Are Optimistic

Despite the constructive signals from SOAB and Binary CDD, not all analysts are convinced of a near-term breakout. For example, the Bitcoin MVRV ratio is showing signs of bull market fatigue.

Likewise, even after the recent price rebound, Bitcoin network activity remains significantly muted – raising concerns about a broader lack of user engagement. At press time, BTC trades at $107,781, down 0.1% over…



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