Nvidia shares jumped in extended trading Wednesday evening after the AI chipmaker reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue and earnings. It also provided an upbeat view of its current second quarter despite restrictions on what it can sell to China. Revenue in its fiscal 2026 first quarter increased 69% year over year to $44.06 billion, beating the $43.31 billion the Street was looking for, according to estimates compiled by data provider LSEG. Adjusted earnings per share increased 57% year over year to 96 cents in the three-month period ended April 27, exceeding the consensus of 93 cents, LSEG data showed. Both EPS and the quarterly estimate excluded charges related to the H20 chip ban in China. Why we own it Nvidia’s high-performance graphic processing units (GPUs) are the key driver behind the AI revolution, powering the accelerated data centers being rapidly built around the world. But Nvidia is more than just a hardware story. Through its Nvidia AI Enterprise service, Nvidia is building out its software business. Competitors : Advanced Micro Devices and Intel Most recent buy : Aug 31, 2022 Initiation : March 2019 Bottom line Nvidia’s results are proof that there has been no slowdown in the buildout of AI. During the post-earnings conference call, CEO Jensen Huang pointed out four positive surprises since the company’s annual GTC event in March that have driven a surge in demand. The first surprise was advancements in reasoning AI, which is included in popular large language models like ChatGPT. According to Huang, reasoning models are creating a step function surge in inference demand, which in turn increases the demand for chips because they are extremely compute-intensive. Another positive surprise was the rescinding of the so-called AI diffusion rules, which ended right at the same time that countries woke up to the importance of AI as an infrastructure, according to Huang. A third positive surprise was the development of enterprise AI agents, which he called “game-changing.” The fourth and last surprise is related to industrial AI, and all the on-shoring manufacturing and the building of plants around the world, creating demand for the Nvidia Omniverse. These are important callouts, as they underscore the rapid pace of advancements in artificial intelligence, which continues to drive strong demand for Nvidia’s chips. The growing integration of AI into everyday life further reinforces this trend. This is clear evidence that the AI story is still in its early innings. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia YTD Accordingly, we’re raising our price target to $170 from $165. But given Nvidia’s rapid 55% stock rise from its 52-week low on April 4 through Wednesday’s close of $134, we are keeping our hold-equivalent 2 rating. In after-hours trading, shares added another 5%. Commentary Heading into earnings , some of our key questions centered on the Blackwell ramp, Sovereign AI, hyperscaler demand, and developments in China. 1. Blackwell : After…
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