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Can Tesla Keep Building Upon Massive Ongoing Rally? These Levels May Hold


stock is up an eye-popping 75% since reporting fiscal on April 23.

The uptrend that began with billionaire CEO Elon Musk saying the company is working on a more accessible model to compete against the growing threat from China’s BYD (OTC:), gained further traction amid several new developments, such as the Tesla Bot and the approval of Robotaxis in California and China.

More recently, the Chinese government added Tesla’s cars to its official purchase list for the first time, which is expected to have a positive impact on the company’s revenues.

The positive development is also said to potentially resolve the crisis of China’s restriction of Tesla vehicles from entering some government and military zones in recent months, citing data security.

As a result, the EV maker’s stock continued to rally – gaining another 25% over the past trading week – turning positive for the year.

But as the stock keeps amassing momentum, the question that investors are asking is – Where will the rally peak?

Let’s take a look at the technical indicators for more clues on how to trade the stock going forward.

Technical View

In early 2024, Tesla faced a slew of delivery and production issues that initiated a downward spiral in its stock price. Experiencing a decline of over 45% within the first four months, the stock dipped below $140 in the week of April 22.

However, a swift recovery ensued shortly thereafter, driven by contrarian buys. Tesla’s earnings report on April 23 marked the beginning of this rebound.

Despite overall pessimism surrounding the stock, InvestingPro’s fair value analysis projected a price target of $188.4 for Tesla’s shares back in April this year, reflecting a nearly 20% potential increase in the near term.Tesla Fair Value - April 2024Source: InvestingPro

Fast forward to now, and even as the stock’s price target has increased along with the rally, InvestingPro’s flagship Fair Value tool now sees a 10.5% downside potential for the stock.

Tesla Fair Value - CurrentSource: InvestingPro

This means that, had you followed our Fair Value model calculator, you would have gained massively on the rally.

But worry not! Like Tesla, there are several other opportunities out there waiting to be scooped up today. Subscribe here for less than $8 a month as part of our summer sale and see them now!

Technical View: Which Levels Are Important?

Following the first quarter earnings report, which initially signaled a potential trend reversal, Tesla bolstered its momentum further with recent positive developments.

Analyzing the weekly chart reveals that the stock broke out of its long-term downward channel as of last week.Tesla Weekly Chart

The stock tested the upper band of the channel three times over the past year and continued its downward trend following each test. However, a strong rebound this time caused a breakthrough above the upper channel line.

Evaluating the momentum over the past year, TSLA has now started trading above the Fib 0.618 level, which corresponds to $238 based on the decline line. Currently, this price level…



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