Here’s what a possible recession could mean for American consumers

Americans want to know: Is this a recession or not?

Officially, the National Bureau of Economic Research defines recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.”

In fact, the latest quarterly gross domestic product report, which tracks the overall health of the economy, showed a second consecutive contraction this year.

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However, both President Joe Biden and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said we’re not in a recession just yet, pointing to the strong labor market and rising wages.

“One question is answered, but a larger one is not,” said Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate.com. “We now know that the economy has contracted for two consecutive quarters.

“It is not entirely clear whether a recession has begun given the continued strength of the job market,” he said.

Even if the NBER doesn’t declare a recession, the economy is far from out of the woods.

Higher interest rates and unrelenting inflation pose major dangers ahead.

And regardless of the country’s economic standing, consumers are struggling in the face of sky-high prices, and nearly half of Americans say they are falling deeper in debt.

While this may look different from previous downturns, there are certain things that rarely change.

Hiring has slowed somewhat already, while uncertainty is running high about where the economy is headed.

Although the unemployment rate has remained just above the prepandemic low, “Powell seems to be warning us that the job market will likely weaken in this higher interest rate environment amid the fight against historically high inflation,” Hamrick said.

The Fed on Wednesday announced another major rate hike of 0.75 percentage points to cool things down — particularly inflation, which remains at a 40-year high.

2. Your investments may falter: Meanwhile, fears that the Fed’s aggressive moves could tip the economy into a recession have caused markets to slide for weeks in a row.

“You’ve had all asset classes enjoy that last shot of liquidity over the last couple of years,” said certified financial planner Douglas Boneparth, president of Bone Fide Wealth in New York. Now, “there are more headwinds that the markets face than tailwinds.”

In times of turmoil, some advisors recommend a shift to stocks paying a high dividend while sticking with short- to immediate-term fixed-income assets.

However, Boneparth also advises clients to look for opportunities.

“Good investors need…